AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw
07/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)
AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
40.7%
Draw
28.1%
Legia Warsaw
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 28.4% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.9% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.5)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    2.99
    (2.67)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Legia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 50%). Legia (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    31.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Celje 2:1
    24.07.2025 Celje - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    17.07.2025 Partizan - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    02.07.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    18CFR ClujBraga
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik
    20ServetteUtrecht
    21HackenBrann
    22AEK LarnacaLegia
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    Which TV channels are streaming of AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
    polandPolandTVP 2, TVP Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
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