PAOK vs AEK Athens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Greek Super League PAOK - AEK Athens
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Championship Group - Round 6
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
PAOK - AEK Athens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.61
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
74% (171/232)83% (367/443)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.28
Total shots
910
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1023
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1323
Passes
74% (171/232)83% (367/443)
Long passes
39% (19/49)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
57% (50/87)64% (78/122)
Crosses
9% (1/11)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.54
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
2313
Tackles
69% (11/16)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
4010
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.280.32
Goals prevented
0.28-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Lamela E. 🟨,
  • 44', Vida D. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Michailidis G. ,
  • 45+2', Rota L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Taison , Pelkas D. ,
  • 69', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
  • 71', Lamela E. , Eliasson N. ,
  • 71', Pierrot F. , Koita A. ,
  • 72', Thomas B. , Chalov F. ,
  • 76', Hajsafi E. 🟨,
  • 79', Pereyra R. , Gacinovic M. ,
  • 79', Pineda O. , Fernandes P. ,
  • 84', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
  • 87', Pelkas D. , Vieirinha ,
  • 90+1', Konstantelias G. , Schwab S. ,
  • 90+6', Kotarski D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


PAOK
45.5%
Draw
27.7%
AEK Athens
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • PAOK - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.22)
    3.41
    (3.15)
    3.54
    (3.29)
    6.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for PAOK - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). AEK will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 38.8%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PAOK will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1.
    • In recent matches, PAOK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • AEK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, PAOK is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in AEK: Angelopoulos A. (Inactive) Martial A. (Red Card) Moukoudi H. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in AEK: Ljubicic R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - AEK Athens were as follows:
    30.03.2025 AEK Athens - PAOK 2:3
    02.02.2025 PAOK - AEK Athens 1:2
    09.01.2025 PAOK - AEK Athens 1:1
    18.12.2024 AEK Athens - PAOK 1:0
    20.10.2024 AEK Athens - PAOK 1:1
    Latest results of PAOK
    04.05.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK 4:2
    27.04.2025 PAOK - Panathinaikos 2:1
    13.04.2025 Panathinaikos - PAOK 3:1
    06.04.2025 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:1
    30.03.2025 AEK Athens - PAOK 2:3
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus33009:099
    2AEK Athens FC33004:049
    3PAOK33004:139
    4Aris32014:316
    5Levadiakos31114:404
    6Kifisia31116:604
    7Atromitos31023:303
    8Volos31022:5-33
    9OFI Crete21012:203
    10Panetolikos31023:4-13
    11AEL Larissa30213:4-12
    12Panathinaikos20113:4-11
    13Asteras Tripolis30122:5-31
    14Panserraikos30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of PAOK - AEK Athens?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 6
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandSportKlub
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9, SportKlub 6
    sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    worldWorldTriller TV+
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