Universitario de Deportes vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma
Result
5:0
20/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.32
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
86% (383/444)81% (288/357)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.690.08
Total shots
238
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
162
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
348
Accurate through passes
32
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
127
Passes
86% (383/444)81% (288/357)
Long passes
64% (34/53)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
76% (101/133)65% (40/62)
Crosses
38% (9/24)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.790.63
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
712
Tackles
53% (9/17)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4231
Clearances
726
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.082.69
Goals prevented
0.08-2.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Concha J. ,
  • 10', Robles A. 🟨,
  • 12', Corzo A. 🟨,
  • 28', Cedron V. , Ascues C. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Inga C. , Concha J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Perez A. , Montenegro D. ,
  • 46', Robles A. , Da Luz M. ,
  • 55', Diego Churin , Rivera J. ,
  • 60', Urena R. 🟨,
  • 61', Ascues C. 🟨,
  • 64', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 68', Perez M. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 68', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Valera A. , Urena R. (A),
  • 74', 4 - 0, Velez J. ,
  • 77', Urena R. , Costa G. ,
  • 78', Corzo A. , Reyna P. ,
  • 81', Fuentes P. 🟥,
  • 84', Rojas J. , Soto J. ,
  • 86', Costa G. 🟨,
  • 86', Barreto G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 5 - 0, Rivera J. , Costa G. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
70.5%
Draw
17.9%
ADT Tarma
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 19.9% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 19% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.38)
    5.12
    (4.7)
    8.18
    (7.51)
    6.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2.
    • Uni de Deportes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ADT's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Ancajima H. (Ankle Injury) Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury) Carabali J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in ADT: Desio G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Fuentes P. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma 2:1
    03.05.2024 ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes 2:0
    16.08.2023 ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes 2:0
    18.03.2023 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma 3:1
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes17122338:122638
    2Alianza Lima17113323:111236
    3Cusco1794431:201131
    4Alianza Atl17101627:18931
    5FBC Melgar1786327:19830
    6Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    7Sporting Cristal1792629:23629
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1883728:19927
    9Cienciano1758429:24523
    10Grau1757522:22022
    11Los Chankas1757524:25-122
    12AD Tarma1756623:30-721
    13Sport Boys1755726:27-120
    14Cajamarca1753917:34-1718
    15Binacional1745819:32-1317
    16Juan Pablo II1744919:28-916
    17Ayacucho17331113:27-1412
    18Comerciantes Unidos17251017:30-1311
    19Alianza Huanuco17251016:32-1611

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