Juan Pablo II College vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma
Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
79% (284/361)83% (359/432)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.86
Total shots
910
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
79% (284/361)83% (359/432)
Long passes
54% (34/63)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
64% (75/117)66% (75/113)
Crosses
25% (6/24)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.65
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1010
Tackles
76% (16/21)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.860.57
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Moyano A. 🟨,
  • 13', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 39', Dulanto G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Moyano A. , Robles A. ,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Rojas A. , Villar E. (A),
  • 60', Pinto O. , Da Luz M. ,
  • 60', Montenegro D. , Barreto G. ,
  • 60', Gutierrez A. , Cabello C. ,
  • 67', Fernandez R. , Canova J. ,
  • 70', Perez A. 🟥,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Bazan N. , Cabello C. (A),
  • 79', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Rojas J. , Bersano F. ,
  • 85', Toledo J. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 86', Rojas A. , Rasmussen M. ,

Chances of winning


Juan Pablo II College
43.2%
Draw
30.7%
ADT Tarma
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 26.6% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 26.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo II College's form might have worsened.
  • ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADT Tarma's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.7)
    3.07
    (3.5)
    3.58
    (5)
    6.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). ADT will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Agurto F. (Injury) Fernandez F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    11.05.2025 ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College 2:2
    Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    22.09.2025 Cusco - ADT Tarma 0:2
    16.09.2025 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 3:1
    31.08.2025 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 2:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3Alianza Lima1363421:15621
    4FBC Melgar1456320:14621
    5Deportivo Garcilaso1356217:16121
    6AD Tarma1363417:17021
    7Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    8Cienciano1253418:15318
    9Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    10Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    11Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1341815:26-1113
    15Sport Boys1333711:19-812
    16Juan Pablo II122559:15-611
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca121389:18-96
    19Binacional00000:000

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