FBC Melgar vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma
Result
4:0
05/04/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.37
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
89% (413/466)84% (281/333)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.120.00
Total shots
208
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
288
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
714
Passes
89% (413/466)84% (281/333)
Long passes
76% (52/68)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
75% (93/124)73% (57/78)
Crosses
42% (5/12)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.38
Fouls
147
Tackles
89% (16/18)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3835
Clearances Total
1616
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.002.12
Goals prevented
0.00-1.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Ramos E. , Bordacahar C. (A),
  • 15', Vidales J. 🟥,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Castro F. , Llontop M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 3 - 0, Castro F. , Bordacahar C. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,
  • 61', Bordacahar C. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 61', Barrios P. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 62', Castro F. , Martinez T. ,
  • 68', Arias A. , Pumacajia A. ,
  • 68', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. , Barreda M. ,
  • 74', Robles A. , Pinto O. ,
  • 74', Cabello C. , Alvino J. ,
  • 81', Choi G. 🟨,
  • 86', Rojas J. , Reyes J. ,
  • 89', Gonzalez L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
60%
Draw
23.7%
ADT Tarma
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 21.2% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 20.5% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FBC Melgar's form might have worsened.
  • ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.43)
    3.95
    (4.45)
    5.61
    (7.3)
    6.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Melgar is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B. (Knee Injury) Orzan H. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Cabello C. (Injury) Desio G. (Knee Injury) Fernandez A. (Injury) Fuentes P. (Injury) Perez A. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Melgar won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 3.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    16.08.2024 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1
    09.03.2024 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 3:1
    22.06.2023 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    26.03.2023 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 0:0
    05.10.2022 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    7Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    8Cusco1574425:18725
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco1515913:28-158

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