ADT Tarma vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar
Result
2:2
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.942.13
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
82% (284/348)73% (212/289)
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.942.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.47
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (284/348)73% (212/289)
Long passes
44% (27/62)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
58% (53/91)55% (61/111)
Crosses
20% (3/15)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.32
Throw-ins
1731
Fouls
1318
Tackles
67% (8/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
2.471.46
Goals prevented
0.47-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Soto J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', Moyano A. 🟨,
  • 61', Moyano A. , Garcilazo J. ,
  • 61', Rengifo H. , Bazan N. ,
  • 64', Da Luz M. 🟨,
  • 64', Bordacahar C. , Cuesta B. ,
  • 64', Barrios P. , Quagliata N. ,
  • 67', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Bazan N. (Pen),
  • 74', Bazan N. 🟨,
  • 74', Da Luz M. 🟨,
  • 76', Arias A. , Martinez T. ,
  • 76', Llontop M. , Guzman L. ,
  • 78', Martinez T. 🟨,
  • 82', Tandazo W. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. , Cuesta B. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Vidales J. , Rodriguez G. (A),
  • 90+15', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
  • 90+17', 2 - 2, Bazan N. (Pen),

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
30.7%
Draw
29.3%
FBC Melgar
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 29.2% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.94)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    2.33
    (2.37)
    7.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melgar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    16.08.2024 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1
    09.03.2024 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 3:1
    22.06.2023 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    26.03.2023 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 0:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes743011:4715
    2Sporting Cristal642013:21114
    3Cusco54107:1613
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Alianza Huanuco73139:10-110
    7Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    8FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    9Los Chankas63039:13-49
    10Cienciano62227:528
    11Grau72149:11-27
    12AD Tarma72145:11-67
    13Alianza Atl51313:216
    14Juan Pablo II61326:8-26
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Ayacucho61145:9-44
    17Sport Boys71152:9-74
    18Cajamarca50234:8-42
    19Binacional00000:000

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