Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Musetti: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Beijing Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti
Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals
Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
64%54%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (21/34)79% (22/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (6/19)63% (15/24)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (6/28)41% (14/34)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (9/24)68% (13/19)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)67% (4/6)
Winners
1515
Unforced Errors
185
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)167% (5/3)
Service Points Won
51% (26/51)71% (37/52)
Return Points Won
29% (15/52)49% (25/51)
Total Points Won
40% (41/103)60% (62/103)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
35.8%
Lorenzo Musetti
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.5)

    1.5
    (1.5)
    4.8%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Musetti will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 70.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 2 - 40%). Musetti (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 60. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Musetti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Musetti will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mannarino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Adrian Mannarino 2:1
    11.03.2023 Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0
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