Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Montpellier Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea
Result
2:1
06/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - Quarter-finals
Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
312
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
70%59%
1st serve points won
75% (49/65)80% (43/54)
2nd serve points won
46% (13/28)49% (18/37)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)40% (2/5)
1st return points won
20% (11/54)25% (16/65)
2nd return points won
51% (19/37)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)67% (2/3)
Winners
2027
Unforced errors
3140
Net points won
86% (12/14)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
67% (62/93)67% (61/91)
Return Points Won
33% (30/91)33% (31/93)
Total Points Won
50% (92/184)50% (92/184)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (14/16)81% (13/16)
Return games won
19% (3/16)13% (2/16)
Total games won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Adrian Mannarino
44.2%
Arthur Gea
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.27)

    1.7
    (1.59)
    5.5%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea?
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Gea (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 Sets - Gea (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 50%). Gea (votes: 9 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Mannarino is ranked ATP: 70. Gea is ranked ATP: 168.
    • Recent performances by Mannarino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gea is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    04.02.2026 Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac Machac T. retired
    02.02.2026 Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Mpetshi Perricard G. retired
    19.01.2026 Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Gea 0:3
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Medjedovic H.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    3Vavassori A. (Q)Blanchet U. (LL)0 : 2
    4Royer V.Fils A. (6)1 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    8Kouame M. (Q)Kovacevic A. (8)1 : 2
    9Humbert U. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    10Martinez P.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    11Gea A. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.)1 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Hurkacz H. (7)Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    14Bautista-Agut R.O'Connell C.2 : 1
    15Basilashvili N.Nardi L.0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Blanchet U.Fils A. (6)0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (4)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kovacevic A. (8)2 : 1
    5Humbert U. (5)Mannarino A.1 : 2
    6Gea A.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    7Damm M.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    8Nardi L.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Fils A. (6)2 : 0
    2Griekspoor T. (4)Droguet T.0 : 2
    3Mannarino A.Gea A.2 : 1
    4Damm M.Nardi L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Droguet T.2 : 1
    2Mannarino A.Damm M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mannarino A.2 : 0
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