Adrian Andreev vs Lilian Marmousez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Challenger Men Singles Maia Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez
Result
1:2
25/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals
Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
68%54%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (39/65)63% (35/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (16/30)53% (25/47)
Break Points Saved
40% (4/10)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
41% (23/56)40% (26/65)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (22/47)47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)60% (6/10)
Winners
3831
Unforced Errors
4239
Net Points Won
91% (10/11)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
58% (55/95)58% (60/103)
Return Points Won
42% (43/103)42% (40/95)
Total Points Won
49% (98/198)51% (100/198)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Adrian Andreev
33.9%
Lilian Marmousez
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adrian Andreev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Andreev's form might have worsened.
  • Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Andreev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (1.97)

    1.41
    (1.74)
    7.1%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH +1.5 Sets - Marmousez (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +2.5 Games - Marmousez (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Lilian Marmousez will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lilian Marmousez will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Andreev is ranked ATP: 867. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 349.
    • Andreev has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marmousez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Andreev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andreev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez were as follows:
    12.02.2024 Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez 2:0
    Latest results of Adrian Andreev
    Latest results of Lilian Marmousez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0
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