Adria Soriano Barrera vs Luca Van Assche: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Porto Challenger Men Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche
Result
0:2
29/07/2025 at 10:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals
Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
95
1st Serve Percentage
57%62%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (20/35)79% (22/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (9/26)53% (9/17)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
21% (6/28)43% (15/35)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (8/17)65% (17/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)50% (5/10)
Winners
1113
Unforced Errors
3319
Net Points Won
50% (4/8)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
48% (29/61)69% (31/45)
Return Points Won
31% (14/45)52% (32/61)
Total Points Won
41% (43/106)59% (63/106)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Adria Soriano Barrera
31.1%
Luca Van Assche
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adria Soriano Barrera's form might have worsened.
  • Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+17%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adria Soriano Barrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (2.18)

    1.41
    (1.67)
    2.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Soriano Barrera will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Van Assche will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Soriano Barrera (votes: 1 - 50%). Van Assche (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 289. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 183.
    • Soriano Barrera is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Van Assche is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Soriano Barrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Faria J. (1)Ymer E.1 : 2
    2Karatsev A.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    3Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (SE)Soto M.1 : 1
    4Araujo P. (WC)Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    5Huesler M. (3)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    6Sultanov K.Echargui M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Butvilas E.Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    8Soriano Barrera A. (Q)van Assche L. (8)0 : 2
    9Maestrelli F. (6)Torres T. (Q)2 : 1
    10Loffhagen G.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 1
    11McKennon M. (Q)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    12Escoffier A.Merida Aguilar D. (4)2 : 0
    13Rocha H. (5)Searle H. (Q)2 : 0
    14Albot R. (Alt)Coulibaly E.0 : 2
    15Cui J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    16Elias G. (WC)Landaluce M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E.Kukushkin M.2 : 1
    2Soto M.Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F.Echargui M.
    4Butvilas E.van Assche L. (8)
    5Maestrelli F. (6)Loffhagen G.
    6Pereira T.Escoffier A.
    7Rocha H. (5)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    8Moro Canas A.Landaluce M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E.Grenier H. (7)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Rocha H. (5)Moro Canas A.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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