Melbourne City vs Adelaide United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Women Melbourne City - Adelaide United
Result
4:3
16/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 19
  • Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
Melbourne City - Adelaide United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.35
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1813
Shots on Goal
67
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
125
Offsides
10
Fouls
512
Throw-ins
2520
Touches in the Opposition Box
4526
Passes
74% (358/487)68% (251/370)
Passes in the final third
61% (93/152)56% (67/119)
Crosses
30% (3/10)15% (4/26)
Tackles
75% (15/20)74% (17/23)
Clearances Total
2720
Interceptions
127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, McNamara H. , Stott R. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, McNamara H. , Bosch L. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 1, Tonkin E. ,
  • 41', 3 - 1, Leon L. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 3 - 2, Healy E. , Holmes D. (A),
  • 62', Vlajnic T. , Roestbakken K. ,
  • 64', 4 - 2, McNamara H. , Bosch L. (A),
  • 71', Healy E. , Morgan S. ,
  • 71', Sasaki N. , Dewey S. ,
  • 73', 4 - 3, Tolland Z. , Holmes D. (A),
  • 76', McNamara H. , Henry B. ,
  • 76', McKenna L. , McMahon S. ,
  • 83', McNamara M. , Hodgson I. ,
  • 89', Bosch L. , Pollicina R. ,
  • 89', Condon E. , Karambasis T. ,

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
60.9%
Draw
21.5%
Adelaide United
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 23.5% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 23.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.
  • Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Melbourne City - Adelaide United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)
    4.27
    (3.93)
    5.24
    (3.98)
    8.7%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 4.
    • Melbourne City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Adelaide United is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Melbourne City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Melbourne City to win the game is with odds 1.52.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:8 (average 1.8:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Adelaide United were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 1:3
    18.02.2024 Melbourne City - Adelaide United 1:1
    06.01.2024 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 0:5
    29.01.2023 Melbourne City - Adelaide United 1:0
    11.01.2023 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 0:3
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne City - Adelaide United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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