Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney).

: AFL - Round 12

Match Stats


Goals
5	21
Behinds
11	5
Kicks
201	226
Handballs
114	116
Disposals
315	342
Frees For
24	22
Frees Against
22	24
Clearances Completed
54	41
Marks
61	83
Tackles
83	84
Hitouts
39	45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 33)
00:56, (Behind Rushed),
03:28, McLean H. (G),
05:05, (Behind Rushed),
06:01, Rankine I. (G),
08:09, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
10:28, Campbell B. (Behind),
11:40, Rachele J. (G),
19:00, Fogarty D. (G),
20:53, Smith B. (G),
28:10, Milera W. (G),
31:17, Dawson J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (2 - 42)
01:25, Soligo J. (G),
07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
10:52, Thiltorpe R. (G),
17:40, Warner C. (Behind),
22:44, Pedlar L. (G),
26:21, Berry S. (G),
28:01, Rachele J. (G),
29:50, Cumming I. (G),
31:31, Sheldrick A. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (27 - 37)
00:52, Heeney I. (Behind),
01:52, Warner C. (Behind),
02:32, Campbell B. (Behind),
04:47, Hayward W. (G),
06:58, Rachele J. (Behind),
11:08, Heeney I. (G),
12:54, Walker T. (G),
15:26, McLean H. (G),
17:54, Campbell B. (G),
19:10, Fogarty D. (G),
21:54, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
25:07, Dawson J. (G),
27:22, Rachele J. (G),
31:08, Keays B. (G),
4th Quarter (4 - 19)
05:43, Keays B. (G),
10:04, Cumming I. (G),
13:39, Warner C. (Behind),
17:05, Warner C. (Behind),
19:05, (Behind Rushed),
23:23, (Behind Rushed),
24:31, Keays B. (G),
29:04, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Sydney Swans
40.7%

Adelaide Crows
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Crows's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Swans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.9)		1.58 ↓ (1.9)	7.4% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 5.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1507:1150. (average 94.2:71.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 732:583. (average 91.5:72.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Sydney Swans won against Adelaide Crows?

Sydney Swans has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Sydney Swans?

Adelaide Crows has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows were as follows:

24.08.2024 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 121:90

15.06.2024 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 67:109

19.08.2023 Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans 73:74

Latest results of Sydney Swans

25.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 131:78 ✺

16.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 78:62 ✺

10.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans 71:63 ✺

03.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants 87:73 ✺

26.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 117:79 ✺

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

24.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles 128:62 ✺

16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68 ✺

10.05.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows 84:89 ✺

03.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues 110:50 ✺

25.04.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Adelaide Crows 85:67 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	22	17	0	5	2165:1535	141.04	68
2	Geelong Cats	22	16	0	6	2322:1650	140.73	64
3	Brisbane Lions	22	15	1	6	1972:1725	114.32	62
4	Collingwood Magpies	22	15	0	7	1909:1551	123.08	60
5	Hawthorn Hawks	22	15	0	7	1966:1602	122.72	60
6	GWS Giants	22	15	0	7	2010:1741	115.45	60
7	Fremantle Dockers	22	15	0	7	1866:1718	108.61	60
8	Western Bulldogs	22	14	0	8	2396:1708	140.28	56
9	Gold Coast Suns	21	14	0	7	1953:1611	121.23	56
10	Sydney Swans	22	11	0	11	1727:1851	93.30	44
11	St Kilda Saints	22	9	0	13	1746:1973	88.49	36
12	Carlton Blues	22	8	0	14	1709:1805	94.68	32
13	Port Adelaide Power	22	8	0	14	1634:2069	78.98	32
14	Melbourne Demons	22	7	0	15	1826:1956	93.35	28
15	Essendon Bombers	21	6	0	15	1421:1966	72.28	24
16	North Melbourne	22	5	1	16	1705:2252	75.71	22
17	Richmond Tigers	22	5	0	17	1385:2094	66.14	20
18	West Coast Eagles	22	1	0	21	1415:2320	60.99	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2