Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 12
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (316/437) | 67% (236/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (316/437) | 67% (236/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/84) | 27% (19/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (88/161) | 41% (33/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Love D. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Sinclair I. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Love D. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
- 46', Grant C. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
- 67', Spellman M. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 72', Woods J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
- 72', Sinclair I. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
- 75', Whitmore K. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 80', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
- 85', Thomas J. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
50.1% | Draw
27% | Newport County
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+5%)
Accrington Stanley - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.86) |
3.45 ↓
(3.64) |
4.06 ↑
(3.95) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Newport County?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Accrington Stanley will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
- Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Newport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Accrington: Matthews D.
(Yellow Cards)
Whalley S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Newport: Garner G.
(Injury)
Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Rawson F.
(Injury)
Walton T.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Newport: Ogunneye H.
(Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 2.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Newport County?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Accrington Stanley?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Newport County were as follows:
11.03.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Newport County
5:0
24.08.2024
Newport County
-
Accrington Stanley
3:1
09.04.2024
Newport County
-
Accrington Stanley
1:3
05.08.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Newport County
3:0
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Swindon | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Notts Co | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Which TV channels are streaming of Accrington Stanley - Newport County?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
