Barrow vs Accrington Stanley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 36
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	0.71
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
11	6
Shots on Goal
3	1
Shots off Goal
5	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
10	10
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
10	10
Yellow Cards
1	1
Throw-ins
41	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	11
Passes
60% (177/295)	56% (178/317)
Passes in the final third
55% (77/139)	41% (52/126)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	16% (3/19)
Tackles
33% (7/21)	46% (6/13)
Clearances Total
32	27
Interceptions
7	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Duru L. ⚽, Pressley A. (A),
34', Gotts R. 🟨,
40', Love D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Walton T. ↓, Hunter A. ↑,
46', Caton C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
46', Henderson A. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
46', Quirk S. ↓, Batty J. ↑,
61', Smith T. ↓, Campbell D. ↑,
67', Duru L. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
76', Coyle L. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Pressley A. ⚽,
86', Whitfield B. ↓, Barnes S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow 45%

Draw 30.1%

Accrington Stanley 24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Barrow 45.3%

Draw 27.9%

Accrington Stanley 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Barrow 36%

Draw 22.2%

Accrington Stanley 33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barrow - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)	3.12 ↓ (3.34)	3.79 ↑ (3.47)	6.1% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Barrow - Accrington Stanley?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 21).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Barrow will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Barrow: Campbell D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Kouyate K. (Inactive) Popov C. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Henderson A. (Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Accrington Stanley?

Barrow has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Barrow?

Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

19.10.2024 Accrington Stanley - Barrow 1:0

29.12.2023 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 1:1

15.08.2023 Accrington Stanley - Barrow 1:1

Latest results of Barrow

04.03.2025 Notts County - Barrow 1:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Barrow - Carlisle United 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 3:2 ✺

11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

04.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Morecambe - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Doncaster ✔	46	24	12	10	73:50	23	84
2	Port Vale ✔	46	22	14	10	65:46	19	80
3	Bradford City	46	22	12	12	64:45	19	78
4	Walsall	46	21	14	11	75:54	21	77
5	AFC Wimbledon	46	20	13	13	56:35	21	73
6	Notts Co ✔	46	20	12	14	68:49	19	72
7	Chesterfield	46	19	13	14	73:54	19	70
8	Salford	46	18	15	13	64:54	10	69
9	Grimsby	46	20	8	18	61:67	-6	68
10	Colchester	46	16	19	11	52:47	5	67
11	Bromley	46	17	15	14	64:59	5	66
12	Swindon	46	15	17	14	71:63	8	62
13	Crewe	46	15	17	14	49:48	1	62
14	Fleetwood	46	15	15	16	60:60	0	60
15	Cheltenham	46	16	12	18	60:70	-10	60
16	Barrow	46	15	14	17	52:50	2	59
17	Gillingham	46	14	16	16	41:46	-5	58
18	Harrogate	46	14	11	21	43:61	-18	53
19	MK Dons	46	14	10	22	52:66	-14	52
20	Tranmere	46	12	15	19	45:65	-20	51
21	Accrington	46	12	14	20	53:69	-16	50
22	Newport	46	13	10	23	52:76	-24	49
23	Carlisle ✔	46	10	12	24	44:71	-27	42
24	Morecambe ✔	46	10	6	30	40:72	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Doncaster is Qualified for League One
Port Vale is Qualified for League One
Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Carlisle is Relegated to National League
Morecambe is Relegated to National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Barrow - Accrington Stanley?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: