Academia Puerto Cabello vs Atlético Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:1
08/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.921.04
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
55
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Passes
83% (293/353)86% (463/537)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.921.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.861.44
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2729
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
10
Free kicks
179
Passes
83% (293/353)86% (463/537)
Long passes
53% (26/49)61% (27/44)
Passes in final third
73% (62/85)73% (122/166)
Crosses
45% (9/20)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.51
Throw ins
1124
Fouls
917
Tackles
45% (5/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
2611
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.441.86
Goals prevented
0.44-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Castillo J. , Flores Barrios R. D. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Dudu ,
  • 34', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Ramos J. , Rosales R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bernard , Reinier ,
  • 46', Cassierra M. , Caua ,
  • 46', Igor Gomes , Maycon ,
  • 65', Alonso J. , Pascini K. ,
  • 72', Rosales R. , Bortagaray G. ,
  • 72', Moreno J. , Lima P. ,
  • 77', Cisse M. , Alexsander ,
  • 80', Ponce A. , Casiani L. ,
  • 80', Castillo J. , Melendez G. ,
  • 90+1', Flores Barrios R. D. , Barros J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Academia Puerto Cabello
21.3%
Draw
30.8%
Atlético Mineiro
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 29.3% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 29.6% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.43
    (4.63)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    1.96
    (1.88)
    6.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro?
    • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 29.6%90.4%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH +0.5 - Puerto Cabello (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Puerto Cabello may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
    colombiaColombiaESPN 5
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    paraguayParaguayESPN 5
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5
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