ABB vs Nacional Potosí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Bolivian Division Profesional ABB - Nacional Potosí
Result
2:2
07/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division Profesional - Round 13
  • Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)
ABB - Nacional Potosí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.69
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
85% (282/333)85% (305/358)
Yellow Cards
64
Red Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.12
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
85% (282/333)85% (305/358)
Long passes
46% (19/41)59% (34/58)
Passes in final third
66% (45/68)66% (58/88)
Crosses
40% (6/15)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.78
Throw-ins
1421
Fouls
1312
Tackles
80% (12/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4736
Clearances
1212
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
2.121.05
Goals prevented
0.12-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', Quiroga M. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Cervantes A. (Pen),
  • 30', Rea Mendieta G. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Mansilla A. , Palacio D. (A),
  • 43', Meza P. 🟨,
  • 43', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Guerra J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rojas J. , Roca C. ,
  • 46', Alaca J. , Gutierrez D. ,
  • 46', Rea Mendieta G. , Vaca L. ,
  • 49', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 54', Quiroga M. , Arroyo A. ,
  • 58', Azogue P. 🟨,
  • 67', Cervantes A. , Rivas J. ,
  • 71', Torres S. 🟨,
  • 76', Torrico A. , Garcia A. ,
  • 84', Galindo M. , Vedia J. ,
  • 87', Palacio D. , Guerra S. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Rivas J. , Vaca L. (A),
  • 90', Vedia J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gutierrez D. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Mansilla A. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Torres S. , Payares M. ,
  • 90+6', Vedia J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Guerra S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ABB
33.6%
Draw
26.4%
Nacional Potosí
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 24.1% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 23.7% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ABB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABB's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABB than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ABB - Nacional Potosí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (1.95)
    3.55
    (3.85)
    2.37
    (3.3)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for ABB - Nacional Potosí?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Nacional Potosí will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).
    • Recent form of ABB has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nacional Potosí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • ABB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of ABB
    03.07.2025 GVCD San José - ABB 5:0
    30.06.2025 ABB - Blooming 1:1
    21.06.2025 Always Ready - ABB 5:1
    26.05.2025 The Strongest - ABB 3:2
    Latest results of Nacional Potosí
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready15104149:202934
    2The Strongest15111344:271734
    3Bolivar1483334:161827
    4Blooming1374229:20925
    5GV San Jose1572623:26-323
    6SA Bulo Bulo1446423:25-218
    7Academia del Balompie1446417:22-518
    8Universitario de Vinto1445520:22-217
    9Guabira1444625:30-516
    10Oriente Petrolero1444621:29-816
    11Real Oruro1535720:26-614
    12Tomayapo1428415:23-814
    13Independiente1426618:31-1312
    14Nacional Potosi1225515:16-111
    15Wilstermann15131111:33-226
    16Aurora1454526:242-14

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

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