Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg BK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Danish 1 Division Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK
Result
5:1
29/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1st Division - Round 8
  • Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.72
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (386/454)91% (480/530)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.62
Total shots
910
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
85% (386/454)91% (480/530)
Long passes
42% (22/53)55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
69% (44/64)78% (123/157)
Crosses
25% (1/4)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.11
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1212
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3836
Clearances
3013
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.621.69
Goals prevented
-0.38-3.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Nissen E. , de Claville Berthelsen M. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Kubel M. , Kaastrup M. (A),
  • 35', 3 - 0, Kaastrup M. , Kubel M. (A),
  • 40', 4 - 0, de Claville Berthelsen M. , Kirchheiner M. (A),
  • 43', Nissen E. , Hjaltason O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hansen K. , Ross O. ,
  • 46', Helenius N. , Moller V. ,
  • 47', Grube F. 🟨,
  • 62', Kirchheiner M. , Egerton E. ,
  • 62', de Claville Berthelsen M. , Kjolby M. ,
  • 62', Kaastrup M. , Holvad A. ,
  • 66', Moller V. 🟨,
  • 67', Arnorsson N. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 68', 5 - 0, Kubel M. , Andersen K. (A),
  • 72', Holvad A. 🟨,
  • 74', Jasson A. , Maarup A. ,
  • 77', 5 - 1, Ross O. , Bomholt M. (A),
  • 85', John K. , Skovgaard B. ,
  • 87', Kubel M. , Beluli J. ,

Chances of winning


Aarhus Fremad
36.4%
Draw
25.4%
Aalborg BK
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.9% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.36)
    3.65
    (3.62)
    2.44
    (2.73)
    7.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK?
  • Users Predictions: Aalborg BK will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
    23.08.2025 Middelfart - Aarhus Fremad 2:2
    20.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Kolding IF 2:2
    15.08.2025 Hvidovre - Aarhus Fremad 2:0
    09.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød 3:1
    02.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Lyngby BK 0:2
    Latest results of Aalborg BK
    22.08.2025 Aalborg BK - Hvidovre 4:0
    19.08.2025 Esbjerg - Aalborg BK 1:0
    15.08.2025 Aalborg BK - Horsens 0:2
    10.08.2025 HB Køge - Aalborg BK 0:2
    06.08.2025 Vendsyssel - Aalborg BK 1:2
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Horsens84318:3515
    2Kolding IF842212:8414
    3Hillerod842212:11114
    4Lyngby833212:9312
    5Esbjerg74039:8112
    6B.93832311:12-111
    7Hvidovre IF82429:11-210
    8Aarhus Fremad823313:1219
    9Hobro82337:9-29
    10Aalborg822410:12-28
    11Koge72148:12-47
    12Middelfart80539:13-45

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )

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