Result
1:3
26/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Challenge League - Round 8
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Étoile Carouge - Aarau live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (386/455) | 82% (372/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (386/455) | 82% (372/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (51/73) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 68% (85/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Frokaj L. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
- 41', Kessler R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Escorza T. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 46', Essiena Avang L. ↓, Bua K. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Ricardo Alves ⚽,
- 70', Obexer L. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
- 70', Frokaj L. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Filet E. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
- 73', Boulkous N. ↓, Felder V. ↑,
- 80', El Jaouhari M. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
- 80', Sene O. ↓, Maouche Y. ↑,
- 84', Ricardo Alves 🟨,
- 86', Filet E. ↓, Jakob N. ↑,
- 86', Afriyie D. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Derbaci D. ⚽, Koide H. (A),
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
14.6% | Draw
23.4% | Aarau
62.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile Carouge's form might have worsened.Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Étoile Carouge - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.62 ↑
(4.08) |
4.13 ↑
(3.78) |
1.55 ↓
(1.77) |
3.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Aarau?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Recent form of Étoile has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aarau is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarau is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B.
(Inactive)
Diallo M. M.
(Injury)
Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Jackle O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Dickenmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Aarau?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Étoile Carouge?
Aarau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Aarau were as follows:
16.05.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Aarau
1:3
28.03.2025
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
2:2
05.12.2024
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
0:1
01.11.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Aarau
2:1
24.08.2024
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Vaduz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:21 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
Which TV channels are streaming of Étoile Carouge - Aarau?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
