Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München
Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 8
  • Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)
Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
89
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
26
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1510
Throw-ins
1425
Fouls
812

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Stefaniak M. , Uhlmann E. (A),
  • 35', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 42', Deniz T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Steinkotter J. , Lippmann C. ,
  • 53', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 59', Niederlechner F. , Haugen S. ,
  • 59', Wolfram M. , Philipp D. ,
  • 61', Clausen M. , Ehlers J. ,
  • 69', Christiansen M. , Jacobsen T. ,
  • 73', Guttau J. , Simnica L. ,
  • 73', Schmid M. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Uhlmann E. , Majetschak E. (A),
  • 84', Deniz T. , Hobsch P. ,
  • 84', Pfeifer M. 🟨,
  • 89', Uhlmann E. , Tashchy B. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4n6d2exh

Official Live

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
54.6%
Draw
25.4%
1860 München
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 26.7% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 26.1% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzgebirge Aue's performance.
  • 1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 1860 München might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzgebirge Aue that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+25.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 1860 München could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (3.22)
    5.83
    (3.51)
    7.96
    (2.12)
    -29.1%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: 1860 München will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Recent form of Aue has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, 1860 München has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • 1860 München will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aue won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München were as follows:
    17.05.2025 1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    21.12.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München 3:1
    03.02.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München 0:0
    02.09.2023 1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    18.03.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München 1:3
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of 1860 München
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1073022:91324
    2Cottbus1062224:141020
    3VfL Osnabruck1054115:6919
    4Saarbrucken1054119:12719
    5Viktoria Koln1052316:10617
    6Wehen1044214:11316
    7RW Essen1044221:19216
    8Verl1044219:17216
    9Stuttgart II1043312:15-315
    10Hoffenheim II1042420:17314
    11Mannheim1041518:18013
    12Ulm1041517:18-113
    13Munich 18601033414:17-312
    14Ingolstadt1025319:15411
    15Hansa Rostock102538:12-411
    16Aue1032510:16-611
    17Alemannia Aachen1031617:20-310
    18Regensburg102269:16-78
    19TSV Havelse1004611:23-124
    20Schweinfurt101097:27-203

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
    germanyGermanyBR Fernsehen, DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
    worldWorldOnefootball
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