Monterey Bay vs Rio Grande Valley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley
29/04/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
42.1%
Draw
26.6%
Rio Grande Valley
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.4% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 25.4% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.3)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    2.93
    (2.6)
    9%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 11 (14.98%), project points - 41, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (45%), a small chance of qtrs (14%), a very small chance of semis (5%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (25.24%), project points - 37, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a small chance of qtrs (9%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 11, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Monterey Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Rio Grande Valley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
    24.03.2023 Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay 1:1
    15.10.2022 Rio Grande Valley - Monterey Bay 4:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston1181226:121425
    2Louisville City1174017:61125
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
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    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1133510:11-112
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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