Aston Villa vs Fulham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Fulham
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 35
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
Aston Villa - Fulham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.71
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
88% (387/442)88% (345/393)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.67
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1624
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
176
Passes
88% (387/442)88% (345/393)
Long passes
57% (28/49)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
69% (76/110)80% (88/110)
Crosses
23% (3/13)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.68
Throw-ins
711
Fouls
617
Tackles
55% (6/11)54% (13/24)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.671.16
Goals prevented
0.670.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tielemans Y. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
  • 31', Sessegnon R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Tete K. 🟨,
  • 57', Sessegnon R. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
  • 59', Bassey C. 🟨,
  • 60', Asensio M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 61', McGinn J. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
  • 66', Berge S. 🟨,
  • 67', Tete K. ↓, Castagne T. ↑,
  • 67', Wilson H. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
  • 71', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
  • 71', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
  • 75', Berge S. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
  • 76', Iwobi A. ↓, Willian ↑,
  • 83', Tielemans Y. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
51.9%		Draw
25.2%		Fulham
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 24.2% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 24.1% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Fulham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↑
    (1.77)    		 3.81 ↓
    (3.98)    		 4.22 ↓
    (4.5)    		 4.1%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Fulham?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 46 - 79.3%). Fulham will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 68.9% – 89.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 50%). Fulham (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 5.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Fulham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Rashford M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Fulham: Nelson R. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrigo Muniz (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Fulham were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Fulham - Aston Villa 1:3
    17.02.2024 Fulham - Aston Villa 1:2
    12.11.2023 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
    26.07.2023 Fulham - Aston Villa 0:2
    20.10.2022 Fulham - Aston Villa 3:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    26.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 3:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Fulham
    26.04.2025 Southampton - Fulham 1:2 ✺
    20.04.2025 Fulham - Chelsea 1:2 ✺
    14.04.2025 Bournemouth - Fulham 1:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Fulham - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    01.04.2025 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Fulham?
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