FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.31
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
82% (395/480)80% (249/311)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.92
Total shots
914
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
82% (395/480)80% (249/311)
Long passes
38% (21/55)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
67% (91/135)75% (89/118)
Crosses
14% (2/14)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.71
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
1013
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3948
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.921.02
Goals prevented
-0.080.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Vidales J. , Cuesta B. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Concha J. ,
  • 29', Santamaria A. , Inga C. ,
  • 45+1', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Llontop M. , D'Arrigo J. ,
  • 55', Guzman L. , Quagliata N. ,
  • 55', Arias A. , Martinez T. ,
  • 62', Di Benedetto M. 🟨,
  • 68', Deneumostier A. , Lazo M. ,
  • 68', Concha J. , Calcaterra H. ,
  • 68', Carabali J. , Reyna P. ,
  • 72', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
  • 80', Velez J. , Flores E. ,
  • 80', Perez M. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 81', Bordacahar C. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Riveros W. , Reyna P. (A),
  • 90+2', Tandazo W. 🟥,

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
40.5%
Draw
32.8%
Universitario de Deportes
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 28.6% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.2)
    2.83
    (3.25)
    3.49
    (3.2)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N. (Knee Injury) Vidales J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Flores E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 4:1
    31.07.2024 FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes 1:0
    17.02.2024 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 2:0
    06.08.2023 FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes 0:1
    05.03.2023 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 1:0
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1171318:10822
    3AD Tarma1262415:15020
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    9Cienciano1143416:15115
    10Grau1243516:15115
    11Comerciantes Unidos1143413:16-315
    12Los Chankas1050514:23-915
    13Alianza Atl1134410:8213
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho113178:17-910
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )

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