IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Vaasa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa
Result
1:5
14/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.67
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
79% (279/355)77% (251/325)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.152.89
Total shots
169
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
79% (279/355)77% (251/325)
Long passes
51% (23/45)50% (29/58)
Passes in final third
74% (73/98)64% (72/113)
Crosses
29% (7/24)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.78
Throw-ins
2821
Fouls
1016
Tackles
52% (11/21)71% (20/28)
Duels won
5762
Clearances
2533
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.891.15
Goals prevented
-2.11-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Jakonen O. , El Ouatki Y. (A),
  • 31', Lindgren P. 🟨,
  • 43', Enqvist D. 🟨,
  • 44', Dekker T. , Etok M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 54', Niemi M. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Fall M. ,
  • 57', 0 - 3, Jakonen O. , Raisanen A. (A),
  • 65', Reid J. , Adedoyin K. ,
  • 65', Heyden J. , Patut E. ,
  • 67', 0 - 4, Ahiabu P. , Etok M. (A),
  • 68', Pedro Justiniano , Lakkamaki J. ,
  • 68', Jakonen O. , Fleuriau N. ,
  • 72', 1 - 4, Okereke E. , Cardoso H. (A),
  • 74', Enqvist D. , Nissinen J. ,
  • 75', Dahlstrom S. , Muskwe A. ,
  • 75', El Ouatki Y. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 5, Fall M. , Lakkamaki J. (A),
  • 85', El Ouatki Y. , Almen A. ,
  • 85', Cicale A. , Huhta K. ,
  • 85', Olawale M. , Lundberg A. ,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
25.9%
Draw
26.5%
VPS Vaasa
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 25.6% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 25.4% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (4.25)
    3.6
    (3.75)
    1.98
    (1.85)
    5.6%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). VPS will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, VPS has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, VPS is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Riikonen M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in VPS: Borchers M. (Inactive) Reid T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
    28.07.2024 VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    12.06.2024 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 0:0
    03.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:2
    05.05.2023 VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    16.10.2022 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 2:2
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    11.06.2025 Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn 4:3
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    28.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 3:2
    24.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - HJK 0:4
    17.05.2025 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    11.06.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    28.05.2025 P-Iirot Rauma - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    25.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa 0:2
    17.05.2025 VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro 0:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS1272316:12423
    2Ilves1171324:121222
    3Inter Turku1064019:71222
    4HJK1162325:101520
    5SJK1253420:18218
    6VPS1052319:15417
    7Gnistan1042414:16-214
    8Haka1033413:15-212
    9Mariehamn1132612:25-1311
    10Jaro102268:14-68
    11KTP1013610:24-146
    12AC Oulu1112813:25-125

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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