Result
1:0
25/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Grêmio - Bahia live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (213/276) | 89% (502/563) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (213/276) | 89% (502/563) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 69% (37/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 84% (130/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 10% (4/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Joao Pedro ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 26', Cristaldo F. 🟨,
- 28', Amuzu F. 🟨,
- 35', David Duarte 🟨,
- 39', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Amuzu F. ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 60', Everton Ribeiro 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 0, Braithwaite M. (Pen),
- 68', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 68', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 68', Michel Araujo ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 74', Cristaldo F. ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,
- 79', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 79', Braithwaite M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 84', Cauly ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
- 84', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 90+5', Pavon C. 🟨,
- 90+10', Aravena A. 🟨,
- 90+13', Caio Alexandre 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
38.3% | Draw
30.2% | Bahia
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Grêmio - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.45) |
3.13 ↓
(3.24) |
2.99 ↑
(2.9) |
5.4%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Mec
(Ankle Injury)
Jemerson
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Ademir
(Muscle Injury)
Arias S.
(Muscle Injury)
Jean Lucas
(Red Card)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Rezende
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Edenilson
(Thigh Injury)
Gustavo Martins
(Knee Injury)
Igor Serrote
(Wrist Injury)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Bahia?
Grêmio has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Grêmio?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Bahia were as follows:
17.08.2024
Grêmio
-
Bahia
0:2
27.04.2024
Bahia
-
Grêmio
1:0
04.11.2023
Grêmio
-
Bahia
1:0
12.07.2023
Grêmio
-
Bahia
2:1
04.07.2023
Bahia
-
Grêmio
1:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - Bahia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
