Pacific FC vs Cavalry: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Premier League Pacific FC - Cavalry
Result
3:3
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC - Cavalry - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.16
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (273/336)86% (368/429)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.331.81
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1336
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
81% (273/336)86% (368/429)
Long passes
42% (26/62)68% (45/66)
Passes in final third
78% (59/76)76% (129/169)
Crosses
56% (5/9)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.43
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1914
Tackles
67% (10/15)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3450
Clearances
374
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.812.33
Goals prevented
-1.19-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Ndom A. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Ntignee G. , Gherasimencov M. (A),
  • 34', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Young S. ,
  • 45', Greco-Taylor C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 2, Ntignee G. , Musse A. (A),
  • 58', Young S. , Keshavarz S. ,
  • 60', Chung K. 🟨,
  • 63', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Keshavarz S. , Greco-Taylor C. (A),
  • 70', 3 - 2, Diaz A. ,
  • 72', Camargo S. , Kobza E. ,
  • 72', Aird F. , Laing L. ,
  • 73', Chung K. , Mukumbilwa G. ,
  • 73', Toualy Y. R. , Heard J. ,
  • 73', Juhmi R. , Vales M. ,
  • 80', Diaz A. , Zanatta D. ,
  • 85', Montgomery C. , Sellouf A. ,
  • 85', Shome S. , Elva C. ,
  • 90+3', Heard J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Klomp D. , Elva C. (A),
  • 90+5', Musse A. , Field T. ,

Chances of winning


Pacific FC
17%
Draw
23.3%
Cavalry
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 25.2% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 24.7% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pacific FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pacific FC's form might have worsened.
  • Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavalry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cavalry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pacific FC - Cavalry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.38
    (4.12)
    3.94
    (3.63)
    1.54
    (1.74)
    9%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 1.
    • Pacific is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cavalry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Pacific has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cavalry is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pacific won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pacific FC - Cavalry were as follows:
    04.08.2025 Pacific FC - Cavalry 1:0
    22.06.2025 Cavalry - Pacific FC 1:0
    17.05.2025 Cavalry - Pacific FC 4:0
    05.10.2024 Pacific FC - Cavalry 1:4
    24.08.2024 Cavalry - Pacific FC 1:0
    Latest results of Pacific FC
    27.09.2025 Forge - Pacific FC 4:0
    20.09.2025 HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC 3:0
    13.09.2025 Pacific FC - Vancouver FC 1:1
    31.08.2025 Valour - Pacific FC 1:1
    Latest results of Cavalry
    27.09.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry 3:0
    20.09.2025 Cavalry - Valour 3:0
    13.09.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 3:1
    05.09.2025 York United - Cavalry 3:1
    30.08.2025 Cavalry - Forge 4:1
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge26159247:212654
    2Atl. Ottawa261410253:282552
    3Cavalry26117844:331140
    4York Utd26107941:33837
    5HFX Wanderers261061038:33536
    6Valour26651531:58-2723
    7Pacific FC26571427:53-2622
    8Vancouver FC26471533:55-2219

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pacific FC - Cavalry?
    It is being streamed on channel
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