Gorica vs Hajduk Split: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Croatian HNL Gorica - Hajduk Split
Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : HNL - Round 34
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
Gorica - Hajduk Split - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.33
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
78% (252/323)82% (322/393)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.88
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
78% (252/323)82% (322/393)
Long passes
40% (21/53)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
61% (51/83)69% (92/134)
Crosses
25% (3/12)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.46
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1311
Tackles
59% (13/22)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4658
Clearances
2818
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.880.80
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
  • 38', Bralic S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Prpic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Pajaziti A. , Erceg A. (A),
  • 54', Melnjak D. , Elez J. ,
  • 54', Durdov B. , Brajkovic R. ,
  • 54', Sanyang A. , Sego M. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Livaja M. , Sego M. (A),
  • 60', Ndockyt M. , Caic V. ,
  • 60', Erceg A. , Cuic F. ,
  • 71', Elezi A. , Slogar M. ,
  • 71', Kalik A. , Rusyn N. ,
  • 82', Pukstas R. , Krovinovic F. ,
  • 84', Pajaziti A. , Vrzic L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gorica
17.2%
Draw
25.2%
Hajduk Split
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.3% 24.7% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 18.3% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hajduk Split, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gorica - Hajduk Split Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.42
    (5.41)
    3.7
    (3.79)
    1.63
    (1.62)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gorica - Hajduk Split?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
    • Gorica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hajduk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hajduk is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I. (Injury) Les M. (Inactive) Prsir J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hajduk: Biuk S. (Injury) Mlakar J. (Injury) Sigur N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Hajduk: Diallo I. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Hajduk Split were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Hajduk Split - Gorica 2:1
    07.12.2024 Gorica - Hajduk Split 1:0
    21.09.2024 Hajduk Split - Gorica 4:1
    19.05.2024 Hajduk Split - Gorica 2:1
    09.03.2024 Gorica - Hajduk Split 0:3
    Latest results of Gorica
    04.05.2025 Rijeka - Gorica 2:1
    28.04.2025 Šibenik - Gorica 0:0
    23.04.2025 Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb 1:0
    19.04.2025 Osijek - Gorica 0:1
    12.04.2025 Gorica - Istra 1961 3:2
    Latest results of Hajduk Split
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb00000:000
    2Hajduk Split00000:000
    3Osijek00000:000
    4Rijeka00000:000
    5Slaven Belupo00000:000
    6Varazdin00000:000
    7Istra 196100000:000
    8Vukovar 199100000:000
    9Lok. Zagreb00000:000
    10Gorica00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Prva NL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gorica - Hajduk Split?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    italyItalyComo TV
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
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