Jong PSV vs MVV Maastricht: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht
Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.19
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
84% (420/502)78% (283/364)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.21
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
97
Passes
84% (420/502)78% (283/364)
Long passes
53% (25/47)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
72% (95/132)67% (65/97)
Crosses
10% (2/20)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.99
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
79
Tackles
68% (15/22)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4840
Clearances
1724
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.210.91
Goals prevented
0.21-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Koller J. , Merien F. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, van der Plas S. (Own goal),
  • 38', 2 - 1, van den Berg J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kluit F. , Bahaty M. ,
  • 63', Kuipers M. , Foubert L. ,
  • 63', van Duiven R. , Bouhoudane S. ,
  • 63', Raap Y. , van de Riet R. ,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Foubert L. , Van Dessel S. (A),
  • 73', Sidibe S. , Bawuah J. ,
  • 73', Thomas A. , Abed T. ,
  • 74', Bouhoudane S. 🟨,
  • 76', El Basri N. 🟨,
  • 78', Breugelmans I. , Zaian A. ,
  • 78', El Basri N. , Kleinen M. ,
  • 81', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
  • 87', Silva Timas I. , Asante D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong PSV
53.8%
Draw
22.5%
MVV Maastricht
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 20.5% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 20% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong PSV's form might have worsened.
  • MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong PSV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.6)
    4.08
    (4.6)
    3.84
    (4.57)
    6.2%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Maastricht will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.
    • Recent performances by Jong PSV have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jong PSV is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 3:2
    30.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 3:2
    19.02.2024 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 3:3
    06.10.2023 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:3
    24.04.2023 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 0:1
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    26.09.2025 Cambuur - Jong PSV 5:3
    22.09.2025 Jong PSV - Den Bosch 3:0
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    12.09.2025 Almere City - Jong PSV 2:4
    29.08.2025 Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    26.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:0
    21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    16.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch 2:4
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    29.08.2025 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 0:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambuur1182123:121126
    2Den Haag981027:72025
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Den Bosch1052322:19317
    6Willem II1052312:13-117
    7Dordrecht1044215:11416
    8Waalwijk1043316:14215
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10FC Emmen1141621:21013
    11De Graafschap1033415:16-112
    12Venlo1040614:17-312
    13Maastricht103259:14-511
    14Oss1032516:22-611
    15Eindhoven FC113269:22-1311
    16Almere City1031621:17410
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse832314:140-1

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 2, ESPN Extra
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