Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal
Result
2:0
22/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.44
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (351/421)83% (392/474)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.670.28
Total shots
207
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
49
Passes
83% (351/421)83% (392/474)
Long passes
52% (33/63)41% (29/71)
Passes in final third
75% (121/161)51% (37/72)
Crosses
30% (10/33)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.19
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
94
Tackles
78% (7/9)100% (12/12)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
2938
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.280.67
Goals prevented
0.28-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Romero F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', 1 - 0, Flores E. ,
  • 62', Tavara M. , Chavez G. ,
  • 62', Wisdom I. , Sosa M. ,
  • 69', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 76', Pacheco F. , Castro M. ,
  • 82', Flores E. , Ancajima H. ,
  • 82', Valera A. , Diego Churin ,
  • 82', Perez M. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Diego Churin ,
  • 88', Lora J. , Cabellos C. ,
  • 90', Urena R. , Costa G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
50.5%
Draw
27.3%
Sporting Cristal
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 20.8% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 22.2% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Deportes's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.49)
    3.42
    (4.5)
    4.16
    (5.75)
    7.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2.
    • Uni de Deportes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sporting Cristal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Uni de Deportes is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Ankle Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury) Sosa L. (Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes 2:1
    12.05.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal 4:1
    16.09.2023 Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes 0:0
    24.04.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal 2:0
    09.10.2022 Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes 0:0
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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