Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (145/231) | 71% (242/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (145/231) | 71% (242/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/69) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/95) | 65% (82/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', Hirato T. 🟨,
- 45+4', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', Takeda S. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Junker K. ⚽,
- 66', Hirato T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 66', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽,
- 73', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
- 73', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 74', Junker K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 75', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
- 81', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. ⚽,
- 83', Nakayama K. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
- 90+4', Rafael Elias ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 90+4', Fukuoka S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
36.7% | Draw
29.4% | Kyoto Sanga
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.47) |
3.2 ↓
(3.21) |
2.78 ↓
(2.93) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
- Recent performances by Nagoya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kyoto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kyoto Sanga?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
11.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
07.08.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:2
26.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:1
16.07.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
25.02.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 48:28 | 20 | 61 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 41:26 | 15 | 57 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:33 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Machida | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:33 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:45 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Okayama | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Verdy | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 28 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:55 | -27 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 27:50 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
