Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus
Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.41
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
72% (284/395)68% (242/358)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.04
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
916
Passes
72% (284/395)68% (242/358)
Long passes
27% (17/64)41% (34/83)
Passes in final third
67% (94/140)56% (52/93)
Crosses
7% (1/15)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.57
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
169
Tackles
77% (10/13)100% (11/11)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
926
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.040.13
Goals prevented
0.04-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Takeda S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Pedro , Okugawa M. ,
  • 46', Murilo de Souza , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 59', Uchida T. , Tokumoto S. ,
  • 59', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 62', Matsuda T. , Hiraga S. ,
  • 66', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Nagasawa S. ,
  • 78', Shiihashi K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 78', Mateus , Nagai K. ,
  • 83', Nakayama K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. ,
  • 89', Takeda S. , Yonemoto T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
40.1%
Draw
29.1%
Nagoya Grampus
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.7% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 28.1% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.31)
    3.22
    (3.39)
    3.04
    (2.98)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Hara T. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:1
    16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    08.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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