Jagiellonia Białystok vs Arka Gdynia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia
18/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
60.5%
Draw
22.5%
Arka Gdynia
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 22.3% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 21.6% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    4.14
    (4.19)
    5.48
    (5.55)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 5.
    • Jagiellonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Jagiellonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:10. (average 2.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1171318:9922
    2Jagiellonia1063119:13621
    3Cracovia1053218:12618
    4Korona Kielce1153315:10518
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Legia1043313:9415
    8Radomiak Radom1143420:19115
    9Rakow1042412:13-114
    10Zaglebie1034321:16513
    11Widzew Lodz1141617:15213
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia113357:15-812
    14Motor Lublin1025311:16-511
    15Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    16GKS Katowice1122711:22-118
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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