Talavera de la Reina vs Ponferradina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina
Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7
Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
11
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Total shots
65
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 38', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 52', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 58', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Molina A. ,
  • 61', San Emeterio F. , Valle B. ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Fernandez X. ,
  • 71', Moreno D. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 71', Keita A. , Jorrin M. ,
  • 75', Navarro I. , Capo P. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez F. , Ouacharaf B. ,
  • 80', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 80', Sanchez L. , Montero Sergio ,
  • 83', Cortes J. , Frimpong E. ,
  • 83', Fernandez X. , Esquerdo V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
17.7%
Draw
32%
Ponferradina
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 28.9% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talavera de la Reina's form might have worsened.
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+19.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.2
    (2.54)
    4.15
    (3.03)
    2.37
    (2.64)
    -21.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Talavera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ponferradina is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife761016:21419
    2Celta Vigo B742110:4614
    3Racing Club Ferrol74219:6314
    4Real Aviles741214:13113
    5Guadalajara73229:7211
    6Barakaldo72418:7110
    7Pontevedra73136:7-110
    8Zamora72328:719
    9Arenteiro72326:519
    10Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    11Osasuna B72324:5-19
    12Real Madrid B73047:9-29
    13CF Talavera72237:8-18
    14Lugo72234:5-18
    15Arenas Getxo72237:11-48
    16Ponferradina72148:9-17
    17Cacereno71426:8-27
    18Unionistas72056:10-46
    19Merida AD72057:14-76
    20Ourense CF70434:9-54

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan