Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgren: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren
Result
2:0
08/10/2025 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals
Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
60%53%
1st Serve Points Won
90% (26/29)70% (21/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (14/19)59% (16/27)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
37% (11/30)10% (3/29)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (11/27)26% (5/19)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
83% (40/48)65% (37/57)
Return Points Won
35% (20/57)17% (8/48)
Total Points Won
57% (60/105)43% (45/105)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
46.3%
August Holmgren
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.86)

    1.76
    (1.86)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Holmgren will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): August Holmgren will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kotov is ranked ATP: 485. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 178.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.
    3Tomic B.Harris B.
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)
    5Smith C.Droguet T.
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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