Cambridge United vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Cambridge United - Luton Town
Result
3:1
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
Cambridge United - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.32
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
77% (283/366)86% (413/483)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.97
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
3230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
77% (283/366)86% (413/483)
Long passes
40% (26/65)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
63% (72/115)76% (135/177)
Crosses
36% (5/14)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.851.48
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1014
Tackles
41% (7/17)37% (7/19)
Duels won
6060
Clearances
3728
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.972.21
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Andersen M. , Lonwijk N. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, McConnell G. , Smith K. (A),
  • 44', Morris S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Knight B. , Mayor A. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Kachunga E. , Purrington B. (A),
  • 60', Nelson Z. , Richards J. ,
  • 60', Andersen M. , Dabo L. ,
  • 60', Bramall C. , Yates J. ,
  • 64', Brophy J. , Kouassi K. ,
  • 65', Smith K. , Mpanzu P. ,
  • 73', Morris S. , Kodua G. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Kachunga E. , Kouassi K. (A),
  • 86', Clark J. , Gbode J. ,
  • 86', McConnell G. , McDougald L. ,

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
18%
Draw
22.2%
Luton Town
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 24.7% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 22.4% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cambridge United - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.19
    (3.47)
    4.27
    (3.73)
    1.62
    (1.9)
    4.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Luton will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 0.
    • Cambridge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Luton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Luton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

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