Alianza Lima vs Ferroviária: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Women Alianza Lima - Ferroviária
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores Women
Alianza Lima - Ferroviária - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.220.99
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
69% (238/345)72% (257/355)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.220.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.321.73
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
16
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
69% (238/345)72% (257/355)
Long passes
35% (23/66)33% (16/48)
Passes in final third
52% (51/98)52% (38/73)
Crosses
8% (1/12)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.160.76
Throw-ins
3121
Fouls
1315
Tackles
79% (11/14)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
1715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.730.32
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Julia Beatriz , Sissi (A),
  • 77', 1 - 1, Molina T. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Mylena Carioca , Raquel (A),

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
16.7%
Draw
22%
Ferroviária
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.9% 18.3% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 17.7% 66%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Alianza Lima - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.7
    (5.13)
    4.31
    (5.01)
    1.55
    (1.44)
    5.4%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Alianza Lima has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Copa Libertadores Women Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W321013:1127
    2Independiente del Valle W32107:167
    3Santa Fe W31027:253
    4Always Ready W30030:23-230


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ferroviaria W32103:127
    2Boca Juniors W31202:025
    3Alianza Lima W30212:3-12
    4ADIFFEM W30121:4-31


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo-Colo W33004:049
    2Sao Paulo W32013:126
    3San Lorenzo W31021:3-23
    4Olimpia Asuncion W30030:4-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cali W32104:137
    2Libertad Limpeno W30301:103
    3Club Nacional de Football W30210:1-12
    4U. De Chile W30210:2-22

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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