Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
Advertisement
Watch and bet Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Valle B. ⚽,
- 38', Aguilar Elizalde E. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
- 45+4', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Angel M. ⚽,
- 56', Keita A. 🟨,
- 56', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
- 61', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Fernandez X. ⚽,
- 71', Serrano M. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
- 71', Zuniga L. ↓, Castrelo G. ↑,
- 72', Valle B. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
- 81', Martin R. ↓, Mesonero ↑,
- 83', Palacios C. 🟨,
- 84', Yanez D. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 3, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 89', Cortes J. ↓, Lian ↑,
- 89', San Emeterio F. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
- 89', Keita A. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
- 90+3', Andujar D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
46.8% | Draw
28.8% | Real Madrid Castilla
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.73) |
3.29 ↓
(3.3) |
3.8 ↓
(4.4) |
5.1%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Ponferradina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ponferradina?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
