Result
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Jaguares de Chiapas
55.2% | Draw
25.1% | Dragones Toluca
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Dragones Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dragones Toluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jaguares de Chiapas - Dragones Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.62) |
3.59 ↓
(3.68) |
4.59 ↓
(4.77) |
10.8%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)
- Chiapas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dragones Toluca has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dragones Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chiapas is considered a favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Chiapas won against Dragones Toluca?
Jaguares de Chiapas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dragones Toluca won against Jaguares de Chiapas?
Dragones Toluca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Chiapas - Dragones Toluca were as follows:
Latest results of Jaguares de Chiapas
Latest results of Dragones Toluca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Los Cabos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 4 | Ensenada FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 5 | Tecos | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 7 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 8 | UA Zacatecas | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Leones Negros 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Guerreros de Autlan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 12 | Colima FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 13 | ACF Zapotlanejo | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:16 | 2 |
| 14 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:15 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Apodaca | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Santiago | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Calor De San Pedro | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Zacatepec | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 10 |
| 6 | Halcones | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Cordobes FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 8 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Matamoros | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Canamy | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Chilpancingo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 4 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Montaneses | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Heroes de Zaci | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Tapachula | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 8 | Celaya | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 9 | Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Neza FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 11 | Dragones Toluca | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 12 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 13 | Canoneros | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )
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