Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Shanghai Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
03/10/2025 at 04:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals
Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
311
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
55%70%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (23/37)78% (42/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (18/30)57% (13/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
22% (12/54)38% (14/37)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (10/23)40% (12/30)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)50% (2/4)
Winners
1932
Unforced Errors
168
Net Points Won
70% (14/20)57% (13/23)
Service Points Won
63% (41/65)71% (54/76)
Return Points Won
29% (22/76)37% (24/65)
Total Points Won
45% (63/141)55% (78/141)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Luca Nardi
37.4%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 72.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (3.14)

    1.52
    (1.37)
    4.8%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luca Nardi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nardi is ranked ATP: 85. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36.
    • Both players are currently in poor form.
    • Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mpetshi Perricard might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeTsitsipas S. (24)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.
    6Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (24)
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (11)
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9Goffin D.Diallo G. (31)
    10Cerundolo F. (19)TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12Hanfmann Y.TBD #24
    13TBD #25Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)
    15TBD #29Machac T. (20)
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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