Valentin Vacherot vs Liam Draxl: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Shanghai Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl
Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final
Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
89
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
69%70%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (49/66)77% (55/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (18/30)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
25% (18/71)27% (18/66)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (16/30)40% (12/30)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)50% (2/4)
Winners
3937
Unforced Errors
107
Net Points Won
343% (24/7)76% (16/21)
Service Points Won
70% (67/96)66% (67/101)
Return Points Won
34% (34/101)30% (29/96)
Total Points Won
51% (101/197)49% (96/197)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Valentin Vacherot
52.9%
Liam Draxl
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.
  • Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liam Draxl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Draxl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.06)

    2
    (1.69)
    6.3%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Draxl will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Draxl (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vacherot is ranked ATP: 202. Draxl is ranked ATP: 119.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Liam Draxl
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeTsitsipas S. (24)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)TBD #2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.
    6Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (24)
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (11)
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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