Johor Darul Takzim vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sultan Ibrahim Stadium (Johor Bahru).

: AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.72
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	9
Passes
77% (299/387)	73% (241/329)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.20	0.71
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	9
Touches in opposition box
9	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
77% (299/387)	73% (241/329)
Long passes
33% (26/78)	34% (27/79)
Passes in final third
59% (55/94)	62% (88/143)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.38
Throw-ins
19	19
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
67% (8/12)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
39	43
Clearances
34	27
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
0.71	0.20
Goals prevented
0.71	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Soma Y. (Pen),
30', Fazail A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
46', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
65', Bergson ↓, Jairo ↑,
70', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
70', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
73', Mendez N. ↓, Insa N. ↑,
73', Silva J. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
84', Mochizuki H. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2kxrzjwa

Chances of winning

Johor Darul Takzim
34.5%

Draw
28.4%

Machida Zelvia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.55 ↑ (2.25)	6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Johor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Johor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Johor (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Johor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Johor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Johor Darul Takzim won against Machida Zelvia?

Johor Darul Takzim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Johor Darul Takzim?

Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

Latest results of Johor Darul Takzim

25.09.2025 Johor Darul Takzim - Bangkok United 4:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Johor Darul Takzim - Sabah FA 8:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim 2:1 ✺

11.09.2025 Johor Darul Takzim - Penang 6:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Imigresen - Johor Darul Takzim 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

27.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia 1:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul 1:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 5:3 ✺

AFC Champions League Table

League phase

East

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Seoul	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
4	Ulsan HD	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
5	Gangwon	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
6	Chengdu Rongcheng	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
7	Buriram	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
8	Machida	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Shanghai Shenhua	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
10	Johor DT	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
11	Shanghai Port	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1
12	Melbourne City	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

West

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hilal	2	2	0	0	5:3	2	6
2	Al Ahli SC	2	1	1	0	6:4	2	4
3	Al Sharjah	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4
4	Al Wahda	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
5	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
6	Al-Gharafa	2	1	0	1	5:4	1	3
7	Al-Sadd	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
8	Tractor	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Al-Duhail	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
10	Al Shorta	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
11	Al Ittihad	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
12	Nasaf Qarshi	2	0	0	2	4:7	-3	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic