Südtirol-Alto Adige vs Empoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 7
  • Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.192.20
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
62% (129/207)86% (395/460)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.192.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.331.95
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
916
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
2544
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
62% (129/207)86% (395/460)
Long passes
27% (17/62)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
51% (58/114)82% (131/160)
Crosses
33% (5/15)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
2.112.45
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1914
Tackles
64% (7/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5660
Clearances
3229
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.951.33
Goals prevented
-0.050.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Kofler R. 🟥,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Pecorino E. , Coulibaly M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Belardinelli L. , Yepes G. ,
  • 46', Moruzzi B. , Nasti M. ,
  • 46', Saporiti E. , Ilie R. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. , Ilie R. (A),
  • 62', Mallamo A. , Bordon F. ,
  • 62', Molina S. , Martini J. ,
  • 65', Shpendi S. , Pellegri P. ,
  • 67', Adamonis M. 🟨,
  • 73', Merkaj S. , Zedadka K. ,
  • 73', Pecorino E. , Odogwu R. ,
  • 77', Elia S. , Carboni F. ,
  • 80', Ceesay J. 🟨,
  • 87', Guarino G. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Coulibaly M. , Casiraghi D. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Nasti M. , Obaretin N. (A),
  • 90+9', Tronchin S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Südtirol-Alto Adige
35.8%
Draw
33.1%
Empoli
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 30% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 28.9% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.36)
    2.97
    (3.12)
    3.12
    (3.09)
    0.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).
    • Südtirol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Empoli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Südtirol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Südtirol: Bordon F. (Inactive) Casiraghi D. (Inactive) Mancini D. (Inactive) Masiello A. (Inactive) Veseli F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Konate I. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Nasti M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
    Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
    Latest results of Empoli
    01.10.2025 Empoli - Monza 1:1
    28.09.2025 Empoli - Carrarese 2:2
    25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1
    21.09.2025 Pescara - Empoli 4:0
    14.09.2025 Empoli - Spezia 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena752013:31017
    2Palermo74309:3615
    3Frosinone742113:7614
    4Venezia733110:5512
    5Avellino733111:9212
    6Cesena732211:10111
    7Monza73227:6111
    8Carrarese724111:7410
    9Juve Stabia72418:8010
    10Sudtirol723211:1019
    11Reggiana723210:1009
    12Empoli723210:13-39
    13Padova72237:9-28
    14Catanzaro70617:8-16
    15Entella71336:10-46
    16Bari71337:12-56
    17Pescara712411:14-35
    18Sampdoria71247:10-35
    19Mantova71155:13-84
    20Spezia70344:11-73

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

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