St. Gallen vs Thun: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swiss Super League St. Gallen - Thun
Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 8
  • Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
St. Gallen - Thun - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.97
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
69% (252/367)63% (194/310)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.502.12
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
3229
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
2518
Passes
69% (252/367)63% (194/310)
Long passes
36% (32/89)38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
54% (59/109)53% (63/120)
Crosses
35% (6/17)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.15
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1825
Tackles
76% (13/17)66% (19/29)
Duels won
6280
Clearances
3032
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.121.50
Goals prevented
0.120.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Meichtry F. , Matoshi V. (A),
  • 33', Burki M. , Franke D. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Vandermersch H. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Ibayi C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Bamert J. 🟨,
  • 60', Vladi S. , Balde A. ,
  • 68', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
  • 70', Matoshi V. , Imeri K. ,
  • 70', Meichtry F. , Reichmuth N. ,
  • 75', Okoroji C. , Ouattara T. ,
  • 75', Vogt A. , Efekele M. ,
  • 76', Witzig C. , Konietzke C. ,
  • 80', Rastoder E. , Rupp N. ,
  • 80', Ibayi C. , Labeau B. ,
  • 89', Kait M. 🟨,
  • 89', Bertone L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Franke D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Gallen
42.3%
Draw
26.2%
Thun
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 25.4% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 25.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • St. Gallen - Thun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.02)
    3.61
    (3.73)
    2.97
    (3.41)
    6.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Thun?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Thun will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 3.
    • St. Gallen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Thun is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, St. Gallen has had a series of away games.
    • St. Gallen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S. (Muscle Injury) Daschner L. (Knee Injury) Fazliji B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Gallen: Okoroji C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
    Latest results of St. Gallen
    27.09.2025 Zürich - St. Gallen 3:1
    20.09.2025 Wil 1900 - St. Gallen 1:2
    13.09.2025 St. Gallen - Lugano 1:0
    06.09.2025 Wil 1900 - St. Gallen 3:3
    Latest results of Thun
    28.09.2025 Young Boys - Thun 4:2
    13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3
    30.08.2025 Thun - Grasshoppers 1:1
    23.08.2025 Zürich - Thun 0:4
    17.08.2025 Breitenrain Bern - Thun 1:0
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun851216:12416
    2St. Gallen850316:9715
    3Basel850316:10615
    4Young Boys842214:15-114
    5Zurich841313:15-213
    6Sion833213:10312
    7Luzern833214:13112
    8Lugano831412:15-310
    9Grasshoppers823314:1229
    10Lausanne822413:1218
    11Servette822412:15-38
    12Winterthur802610:25-152

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

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