Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (289/379) | 81% (358/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (289/379) | 81% (358/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/73) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 68% (88/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', Matheus Goncalves 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Edmilson Junior ⚽,
- 37', Desmas A. ↓, Burke B. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 1, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Majrashi A. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luis Alberto ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Piatek K. ⚽, Edmilson Junior (A),
- 55', Sulaiman M. ↓, Hamidou R. ↑,
- 72', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
- 73', Millot E. ↓, Toney I. ↑,
- 75', Kessie F. 🟨,
- 82', Verratti M. 🟨,
- 88', Al Brake S. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
- 90+3', Atangana V. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4txpy3b9
Chances of winning
Al Duhail
31.2% | Draw
25% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Duhail's performance.Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Duhail that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+28.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(6.16) |
4 ↓
(5.57) |
2.29 ↑
(1.34) |
-0%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al Duhail will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Al Duhail is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ahli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Al Duhail won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al Duhail has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al Duhail?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
Latest results of Al Duhail
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Seoul | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Gangwon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Buriram | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Machida | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Johor DT | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Al Sharjah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Al Wahda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Tractor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Al-Duhail | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Shorta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
