Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League One Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon
Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.30
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
38
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
70% (306/437)65% (231/357)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.172.13
Total shots
38
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
25
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
70% (306/437)65% (231/357)
Long passes
32% (30/93)23% (22/95)
Passes in final third
38% (45/117)53% (83/158)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.160.77
Throw-ins
3138
Fouls
1413
Tackles
44% (4/9)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5464
Clearances
3934
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.130.17
Goals prevented
0.130.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Coulson H. , Ashworth Z. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Pen),
  • 39', Casey O. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Bowler J. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ogundere I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Horsfall F. , Fletcher A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 64', Taylor D. , Bloxham T. ,
  • 78', Hamilton C. , Hansson E. ,
  • 79', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Browne M. ,
  • 80', Hippolyte M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 87', Bugiel O. , Sasu A. ,
  • 89', Evans L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Blackpool
38.8%
Draw
31%
AFC Wimbledon
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.5% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 28.3% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackpool's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (1.92)
    3.22
    (3.5)
    3.26
    (3.71)
    -0.7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 1.
    • Blackpool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wimbledon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Blackpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Blackpool: Banks S. (Inactive) Ennis N. (Injury) Honeyman G. (Injury) Husband J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Hackford A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Blackpool: Imray D. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    Latest results of Blackpool
    30.09.2025 Blackpool - Luton Town 2:2
    27.09.2025 Bradford City - Blackpool 1:0
    20.09.2025 Blackpool - Barnsley 1:0
    16.09.2025 Blackpool - Barrow 5:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Lincoln1163217:10721
    5AFC Wimbledon1170416:12421
    6Huddersfield1161417:13419
    7Stockport County1154217:14319
    8Bolton1145216:11517
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1152411:12-117
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Northampton104247:8-114
    14Wigan1134415:16-113
    15Plymouth1141616:19-313
    16Port Vale1133510:10012
    17Exeter1140711:12-112
    18Leyton Orient1132616:22-611
    19Reading1024411:15-410
    20Wycombe1123613:15-29
    21Burton102357:15-89
    22Rotherham102269:15-68
    23Blackpool1122710:19-98
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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