Ayutthaya United vs Sukhothai: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Thai League 1 Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Thai League 1 - Round 7
Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.12
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
81% (292/361)83% (315/379)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.55
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
817
Passes
81% (292/361)83% (315/379)
Long passes
37% (17/46)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
65% (59/91)60% (58/97)
Crosses
36% (5/14)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.82
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
178
Tackles
87% (13/15)100% (8/8)
Duels won
3631
Clearances
2214
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.550.64
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Otton C. 🟨,
  • 16', Thumporn T. 🟨,
  • 21', Caique Lemes 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Conrado , Pombuppha C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Yaidee K. 🟨,
  • 64', Aranpiroj R. , Mhuaddarak T. ,
  • 65', Chatthong S. , Mateusinho ,
  • 65', Yaidee K. , Biaothungoi P. ,
  • 71', Diego Carioca , Laptrakul C. ,
  • 83', Denman A. , Phranmaen T. ,
  • 86', Worasut N. , De Bruycker D. ,
  • 86', Pombuppha C. , Kaewcharoen N. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Romeu , Elias (A),
  • 90+6', Otton C. , Phatthaphon P. ,
  • 90+6', Thumporn T. , Kanlayanabandit S. ,

Chances of winning


Ayutthaya United
58.2%
Draw
26.7%
Sukhothai
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 24.6% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 24.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayutthaya United's performance.
  • Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sukhothai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayutthaya United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sukhothai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.81)
    3.93
    (3.79)
    6.95
    (3.88)
    -4.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Ayutthaya United (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ayutthaya United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ayutthaya United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Ayutthaya United
    Latest results of Sukhothai
    20.09.2025 Uthai Thani - Sukhothai 1:1
    31.08.2025 Prachuap - Sukhothai 0:0
    24.08.2025 Sukhothai - Thai Port 1:0
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram761020:81219
    2Bangkok Utd751114:9516
    3Ratchaburi74128:4413
    4Rayong FC732211:9211
    5Pathum United732210:8211
    6Port MTI FC731315:6910
    7Chiangrai Utd72327:709
    8Prachuap72327:709
    9Muang Thong Utd72329:10-19
    10Sukhothai71425:6-17
    11Ayutthaya Utd714212:14-27
    12Nakhon Ratchasima FC71426:9-37
    13Lamphun Warrior713311:16-56
    14Kanchanaburi71338:16-86
    15Chonburi70434:9-54
    16Uthai Thani70346:15-93

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