Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 80% (280/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 80% (280/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/114) | 72% (81/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 61% (11/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -2.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Froling N. ⚽, Risch S. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Beifus M. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
- 37', 1 - 2, Egloff L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Amoako K. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Daferner C. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
- 61', 2 - 3, Schleusener F. ⚽, Pinto Pedrosa R. (A),
- 68', Oehmichen J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
- 68', Daferner C. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
- 74', Froling N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
- 75', Forster P. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
- 80', Risch S. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
- 84', Egloff L. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
- 89', Schleusener F. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Lemmer J. ⚽,
- 90+5', Beifus M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kutschke S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Dresden
43.6% | Draw
25.9% | Karlsruher
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.25) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
3.08 ↑
(2.88) |
5.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dynamo Dresden will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
- Recent performances by Dynamo Dresden have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Dynamo Dresden could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A.
(Muscle Injury)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Ersungur A.
(Knee Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karlsruher: Franke M.
(Back Injury)
Jung S.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Karlsruher?
Dynamo Dresden has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Dynamo Dresden?
Karlsruher has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher were as follows:
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
Latest results of Karlsruher
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Schalke | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hannover | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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