Montana vs Cherno More Varna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Bulgarian Parva Liga Montana - Cherno More Varna
Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : efbet League - Round 11
  • Referee: Davidov G. (Bul)
Montana - Cherno More Varna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Montana - Cherno More Varna live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
78
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
13
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
112
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Tonev D. ,
  • 12', Donchev A. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Sidney C. , Tonev D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Todorov A. , Ejike P. ,
  • 46', Iliadis I. , Berhane J. ,
  • 54', Berhane J. 🟨,
  • 56', Tonev D. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Kokonov I. ,
  • 58', Strinski K. 🟨,
  • 67', Tonev D. , Phellipe ,
  • 68', Mihaylov M. 🟨,
  • 73', Strinski K. , Beji ,
  • 74', Sidney C. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Lazarov G. ,
  • 80', Sidney C. , Zlatev N. ,
  • 81', Chandarov A. , Milushev M. ,
  • 83', Dimitrov B. , Atanasov P. ,
  • 83', Tungarov A. , Burov D. ,
  • 89', Joao Pedro , Calcan A. ,
  • 89', Lazarov G. , Stefanov R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montana
12.4%
Draw
19.6%
Cherno More Varna
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 28.2% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 27.8% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.
  • Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Varna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montana - Cherno More Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.16
    (4.18)
    5.78
    (3.28)
    1.57
    (1.86)
    -8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Montana - Cherno More Varna?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Cherno More will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cherno More is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montana won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
    Latest results of Montana
    19.09.2025 Montana - Spartak Varna 1:2
    12.09.2025 Botev Plovdiv - Montana 0:1
    23.08.2025 Montana - Septemvri Sofia 2:0
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia1182119:61326
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia1172219:10923
    3Ludogorets1064017:31422
    4Cherno More1164118:71122
    5Lok. Plovdiv1155112:11120
    6Botev Vratsa1135310:9114
    7Beroe1034311:14-313
    8Spartak Varna1126312:12012
    9Lok. Sofia1126310:10012
    10Arda1133511:12-112
    11Montana113268:19-1111
    12CSKA Sofia111739:10-110
    13Slavia Sofia1124512:17-510
    14Botev Plovdiv1131711:18-710
    15Septemvri Sofia1122712:24-128
    16Dobrudzha112188:17-97

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Montana - Cherno More Varna?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan