Alexander Ritschard vs Stefano Travaglia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia
Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals
Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
60%60%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (34/52)64% (42/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (14/34)45% (20/44)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/5)40% (4/10)
1st Return Points Won
39% (26/66)35% (18/52)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (24/44)59% (20/34)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
56% (48/85)55% (60/110)
Return Points Won
45% (50/110)44% (37/85)
Total Points Won
50% (98/195)50% (97/195)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Alexander Ritschard
59.4%
Stefano Travaglia
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Ritschard's performance.
  • Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Travaglia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Ritschard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Travaglia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.92)

    2.29
    (1.77)
    5.8%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ritschard (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alexander Ritschard will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ritschard is ranked ATP: 332. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 239.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alexander Ritschard
    Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2
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