Sho Shimabukuro vs Sebastian Korda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Tokyo Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda
Result
0:2
25/09/2025 at 23:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals
Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
49
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
62%56%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (18/29)80% (32/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (9/18)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)100% (7/7)
1st Return Points Won
20% (8/40)34% (10/29)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)50% (9/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/7)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
57% (27/47)68% (48/71)
Return Points Won
32% (23/71)43% (20/47)
Total Points Won
42% (50/118)58% (68/118)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Sho Shimabukuro
27.3%
Sebastian Korda
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 71.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.4)

    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.7%
    (4.6%)
    What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Korda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 273. Korda is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Korda is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Latest results of Sebastian Korda
    25.08.2025 Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda Korda S. retired
    22.08.2025 Sebastian Korda - Marton Fucsovics Fucsovics M. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis
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