Leicester City vs Wrexham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Leicester City - Wrexham
Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Leicester City - Wrexham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.89
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
92% (624/680)84% (272/324)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.510.62
Total shots
169
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
92% (624/680)84% (272/324)
Long passes
67% (18/27)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
82% (144/175)60% (33/55)
Crosses
29% (7/24)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.48
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
97
Tackles
60% (6/10)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.620.51
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Faes W. 🟨,
  • 34', Thomas L. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, James J. , Daka P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thomas L. , Kristiansen V. ,
  • 57', Longman R. 🟨,
  • 61', Sheaf B. , James M. ,
  • 61', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 68', Monga J. , Mavididi S. ,
  • 68', De Cordova-Reid B. , Skipp O. ,
  • 73', Longman R. , McClean J. ,
  • 73', Kabore I. , Barnett R. ,
  • 73', Skipp O. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Broadhead N. , O'Brien L. (A),
  • 82', Daka P. , Ayew J. ,
  • 82', James J. , Carranza J. ,
  • 82', Moore K. , Smith S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leicester City
56.1%
Draw
23.8%
Wrexham
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 22.4% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 24.4% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Leicester City - Wrexham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.66)
    4.01
    (4.25)
    4.75
    (4.7)
    4.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Leicester City - Wrexham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Leicester (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Leicester (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leicester City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leicester is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Leicester: Ramsey A. (Red Card) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: Page L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Wrexham
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3
    30.08.2025 Millwall - Wrexham 0:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry954027:72019
    2Middlesbrough953112:6618
    3Leicester944113:8516
    4Preston944111:7416
    5Stoke943211:6515
    6QPR943213:14-115
    7West Brom94239:10-114
    8Millwall94239:12-314
    9Ipswich834115:8713
    10Bristol City934215:10513
    11Watford933311:11012
    12Swansea933310:10012
    13Charlton93338:8012
    14Portsmouth93338:9-112
    15Hull933314:16-212
    16Birmingham93338:11-312
    17Southampton925211:12-111
    18Wrexham924314:15-110
    19Norwich922511:14-38
    20Derby915311:15-48
    21Blackburn82157:11-47
    22Oxford Utd913510:13-36
    23Sheffield Wed91358:20-126
    24Sheffield Utd91083:16-133

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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