KuPS Kuopio vs Drita Gjilan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan
Result
1:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)
KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.90
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
87% (607/697)77% (275/358)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.20
Total shots
612
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
87% (607/697)77% (275/358)
Long passes
59% (36/61)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
68% (126/184)63% (51/81)
Crosses
13% (2/15)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.04
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1610
Tackles
61% (11/18)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4942
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.201.03
Goals prevented
0.200.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Tusha V. , Sheji B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Hamalainen T. , Antwi C. ,
  • 59', Pasanen S. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 59', Toure M. , Parzyszek P. ,
  • 66', Balaj L. , Soumahoro M. ,
  • 70', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 71', Arifi D. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Parzyszek P. , Voutilainen J. (A),
  • 80', 1 - 1, Dabiqaj A. , Sheji B. (A),
  • 83', Pennanen P. 🟨,
  • 89', Ajzeraj A. , Broja R. ,
  • 89', Manaj A. , Abazaj K. ,
  • 90', Pennanen P. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 90+2', Cisse I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
55.8%
Draw
24.6%
Drita Gjilan
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 26.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 26.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KuPS Kuopio's performance.
  • Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drita Gjilan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KuPS Kuopio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drita Gjilan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.95)
    3.91
    (3.51)
    5.11
    (3.68)
    5.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan?
  • Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.84%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tammelan Stadion.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, KuPS is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Heinonen A. (Inactive) Konate P. (Inactive) Lotjonen A. (Red Card) Ricardo P. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    27.09.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 0:4
    23.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - SJK 3:2
    20.09.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 1:0
    14.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 2:4
    10.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro 2:0
    Latest results of Drita Gjilan
    28.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Dukagjini 3:1
    25.09.2025 Ballkani - Drita Gjilan 2:0
    17.09.2025 Drita Gjilan - Drenica 0:1
    14.09.2025 Prishtina - Drita Gjilan 2:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of KuPS Kuopio - Drita Gjilan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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