Valencia vs Real Oviedo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Valencia - Real Oviedo
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 7
Valencia - Real Oviedo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.77
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (471/539)81% (337/415)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.931.47
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
87% (471/539)81% (337/415)
Long passes
53% (21/40)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)65% (67/103)
Crosses
29% (6/21)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.96
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (9/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.471.93
Goals prevented
-0.530.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Danjuma A. , Rioja L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', Almeida A. , Lopez D. ,
  • 55', Guerra J. , Pepelu ,
  • 55', Duro H. , Beltran L. ,
  • 56', Tarrega C. 🟨,
  • 61', Vinas F. 🟨,
  • 65', Brekalo J. , Ilic L. ,
  • 70', Reina A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ilic L. 🟨,
  • 75', Danjuma A. (Pen),
  • 76', Reina A. , Chaira I. ,
  • 76', Vinas F. , Rondon S. ,
  • 78', Danjuma A. , Raba D. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Ilic L. ,
  • 86', Rioja L. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Rondon S. , Ahijado L. (A),
  • 88', Hassan H. , Costas D. ,
  • 90+3', Ilic L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Valencia
62.7%
Draw
23.9%
Real Oviedo
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.
  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Valencia - Real Oviedo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.71)
    4.3
    (3.73)
    7.92
    (5.33)
    -0.8%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Oviedo?
  • Users Predictions: Valencia will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valencia will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Valencia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Valencia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Valencia
    23.09.2025 Espanyol - Valencia 2:2
    20.09.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 2:0
    14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0
    29.08.2025 Valencia - Getafe 3:0
    24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3
    21.09.2025 Elche - Real Oviedo 1:0
    13.09.2025 Getafe - Real Oviedo 2:0
    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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